Post by collegekingrex on Nov 13, 2009 18:23:59 GMT -5
Sup fellas...
Figured I'd get these in here in case y'all didn't catch 'em earlier...
OK... been hard at work.... Let's see if I can yield some winners.
Was able to get down off the screen for most of these bets... a few others might move later.
Youngstown State +18 for a medium bet. Lots of experience back for the Penguins. New coach and lots of new players for the X-Men. Just taking a price here as it seems at least three buckets too high...
UL-Monroe +18.5 small. Trip to Baton Rouge might not be a fun one, but there's some experience here against an LSU team that lost a lot.
Drexel +5.5 at Joe's for a small bet. Looks like a cointoss to me. Bruiser always will have 'em 'D'-ing up, and Phil is going at it without stud Nivins this season. Expect them to struggle early at Hawk Hill.
Stanford PICK at San Diego. Lots of problems for the Toreros last year kept them from repeating their NCAA exploits from 2008; the injury to Johnson didn't help - now the Cardinal have a coach back with some experience, a team that didn't lose in the non-con last year and a good core of players that struggled in the league but figured out how to win outside of it. Small bet.
Samford +12 at Kent, medium bet. The Jim Christian Era ended when he left town and six straight 20-win seasons left when Geno Ford took over. The Flashes haven't exhibited the same ability to stop folks that they did when Waters and Christian were coaching. Meanwhile, Samford and its Princeton offense figures to give fits to Kent in this first game. Lots and lots of points for a better defensive team.
Duggins being out for Wright State sucks as I had them circled for a large bet at this price at Washington. Bad deal, and I am looking for input here.
Oregon -20 vs. Winston-Salem State big. This is the biggest bet of the day and a head-scratching line. WSSU playing in its final transition season. They were 8-22 against a MEAC slate (one of the worst 2-3 conferences) last year, and have 9 newcomers this year. WSSU was 317th in the RPI. Yes, Oregon struggled last year but everyone returns and Ernie Kent knows he needs to win now and win big. They should be able to do so, and have this number covered up by halftime. I made the game 30 and can't figure out why it's so cheap...
Greensboro +31 at Duke small. Just taking a price here. UNCG isn't very good but its guards should be able to work against a Duke team that, frankly, has no real guard depth and is devoid of stud G Smith for the first two games.
Wofford +17 at Pitt. The Panthers lose everyone, and the Terriors return a lot. Medium bet.
795 St. Peter's +17.5 at Seton Hall medium. Same story; the Peacocks have a lot back and there might not be enough balls on the rack for this Seton Hall group that Bobby G has thrown together.
Rider +15.5 at Auburn small. Rider and Nigeria are two MAAC teams that should challenge Siena for league supremacy and they have a lot of key cogs back from a team that improved last year. Too many points for Messy State to lay in the opener.
That's it for now. Might come back with another bet or two if I can be coerced by some of your sharpies in the forum, or if a line or two moves the other way and forces a bet...
Figured I'd get these in here in case y'all didn't catch 'em earlier...
OK... been hard at work.... Let's see if I can yield some winners.
Was able to get down off the screen for most of these bets... a few others might move later.
Youngstown State +18 for a medium bet. Lots of experience back for the Penguins. New coach and lots of new players for the X-Men. Just taking a price here as it seems at least three buckets too high...
UL-Monroe +18.5 small. Trip to Baton Rouge might not be a fun one, but there's some experience here against an LSU team that lost a lot.
Drexel +5.5 at Joe's for a small bet. Looks like a cointoss to me. Bruiser always will have 'em 'D'-ing up, and Phil is going at it without stud Nivins this season. Expect them to struggle early at Hawk Hill.
Stanford PICK at San Diego. Lots of problems for the Toreros last year kept them from repeating their NCAA exploits from 2008; the injury to Johnson didn't help - now the Cardinal have a coach back with some experience, a team that didn't lose in the non-con last year and a good core of players that struggled in the league but figured out how to win outside of it. Small bet.
Samford +12 at Kent, medium bet. The Jim Christian Era ended when he left town and six straight 20-win seasons left when Geno Ford took over. The Flashes haven't exhibited the same ability to stop folks that they did when Waters and Christian were coaching. Meanwhile, Samford and its Princeton offense figures to give fits to Kent in this first game. Lots and lots of points for a better defensive team.
Duggins being out for Wright State sucks as I had them circled for a large bet at this price at Washington. Bad deal, and I am looking for input here.
Oregon -20 vs. Winston-Salem State big. This is the biggest bet of the day and a head-scratching line. WSSU playing in its final transition season. They were 8-22 against a MEAC slate (one of the worst 2-3 conferences) last year, and have 9 newcomers this year. WSSU was 317th in the RPI. Yes, Oregon struggled last year but everyone returns and Ernie Kent knows he needs to win now and win big. They should be able to do so, and have this number covered up by halftime. I made the game 30 and can't figure out why it's so cheap...
Greensboro +31 at Duke small. Just taking a price here. UNCG isn't very good but its guards should be able to work against a Duke team that, frankly, has no real guard depth and is devoid of stud G Smith for the first two games.
Wofford +17 at Pitt. The Panthers lose everyone, and the Terriors return a lot. Medium bet.
795 St. Peter's +17.5 at Seton Hall medium. Same story; the Peacocks have a lot back and there might not be enough balls on the rack for this Seton Hall group that Bobby G has thrown together.
Rider +15.5 at Auburn small. Rider and Nigeria are two MAAC teams that should challenge Siena for league supremacy and they have a lot of key cogs back from a team that improved last year. Too many points for Messy State to lay in the opener.
That's it for now. Might come back with another bet or two if I can be coerced by some of your sharpies in the forum, or if a line or two moves the other way and forces a bet...
