|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 17:37:32 GMT -5
DREXEL -6 0.55/0.5u MARYLAND +16.5 0.55/0.5u G TOWN +3 0.55/0.5u S DAKOTA ST +7.5 0.55/0.5u TROY +7.5 0.55/0.5u
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 17:49:39 GMT -5
Drexel loses Givens but returns other 4 starters from last seasons team that led the CAA in points allowed per game at just 56.1 ppg. McCoy and Ruffin give the Dragons size and muscle inside. Drexel finished last season on a 16-7 ATS run and 7-1 ATS L8 road games.
Kent St must replace 42.2 points per game due to departures from last seasons team. Even though this is their opener, Kent St could already have their focus on Weds nights game vs Temple, which will be nationally televised. Kent St is 5-11 ATS L16 home games, 16-36 ATS L52 non conference games and 5-15-1 ATS L21 Friday games.
saw open 5.5, hit 6, seen as high as 8
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 17:59:17 GMT -5
I like G Town here as neutral/dogs vs Fla. Florida has suspended starting PG Wilbekin and will be without Prather due to concussion, that leaves the Gators with 5 returning players and 4 freshmen. Guess Boynton will run the point but will inexperience at position show? And how will those Florida frosh play?
Only trends, but thrilled to see G Town 15-5 ATS L20 on neutral site and 36-17-1 ATS L54 non conference games.
Opened 3.5, moved to 3 that's when i hit and now sits at 4
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 18:29:16 GMT -5
Not knowing how good Kentucky is this season and with the recent news of Wells being eligible for the Terps, felt 16.5 was too many. Kentucky is 2-9-1 ATS L12 vs ACC.
hit 16.5, seen as low as 10.5
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 18:44:08 GMT -5
South Dakota St is a mid major that i'll be following closely this season as they return 4 of 5 starters from last seasons team that posted 27 victories. The Jackrabbits are predicted by many to win The Summit League behind Nate Wolters, the only player in D1 last season to average at least 20 pts, 5 rebs and 5 ast per game.
Jackrabbits finished last season on a 18-8-1 ATS L27 run and are 6-1-1 ATS L8 non conference games. Bama is 2-5-1 ATS L8 non conference games and 2-6 ATS L8 home games.
hit open at 7.5 and have seen some 7's and even 6.5's
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 19:35:47 GMT -5
Neither Miss St or Troy were impressive in their most recent exhibition games, Miss St beat William Carey 80-74 and Troy beat Alaska Anchorage 61-57.
Miss St will start their season on the road, with 5 new starters and a first year head coach. Miss St is 9-19 ATS L28 non conference games.
Troy is 0-9 all time vs Miss St, but 2 of last 3 meetings did go to OT (2010,2005). Last seasons game vs Miss St, Troy was embarassed 106-68 so thinking the Trojans will want to prove they can compete this time. Head coach Don Maestri is in his 31st season at Troy and is 27-3 in his home openers.
was not as prepared for this game at open as others and it shows, one source says game opened at 13.5 and i did see and miss 8 and settled on +7.5, really hope not getting best of line is not the difference between winning or losing this one.
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 19:39:15 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 19:44:49 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 20:01:49 GMT -5
thoughts on other 11/9 games:
leaned UNDER in Ohio St vs Marquette but opened much higher then i thought it would at 145.5, saw it drop 3 points and then saw it drop 2 more, currently around 140.5
Think pretty highly of Denver this season, they return 7 players and 4 of top 5 scorers from last seasons team. Iona on the other hand, i don't see finishing higher then 3rd in the MAAC after losing Machado and Glover from a season ago and then top recruit (Haynes) was shot during summer. These two teams played to a 2 pt buzzer beater in OT last season won by Iona in Denver 80-78. Although i'm high on Denver and low on Iona this season not sure i trust the Pioneers travel (Den to NY) and on the road. Denver 3-11 road/openers since returning to D1, Denver 10-29 ATS L39 road games. The key to Denver last season was; they went 22-1 when they held teams to 65 or less and when they allowed opponents to score more then 65 went 0-8, also they went 14-2 in home games.
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 20:07:22 GMT -5
lean Byu/Creighton/Col St ML parlay, possibly add Valpo to that too...
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 20:45:40 GMT -5
Mason is playing with 20 pt revenge vs Uva from 12/6/11 and will be without Copes and Gray.
Tulane beat G Tech last season 57-52 and is 5-1 ATS L6 vs ACC and 10-2 ATS L12 non conference games but G Tech 7-0 ATS L7 Friday games.
leaned St Peter's +22.5 open and now down to +21, mainly because i see another low scoring game between these two teams, last 4 meetings have produced 107, 108, 115 and 123 points. Rutgers 1-10-1 ATS L12 non conference games and 2-7 ATS L9 Friday games.
Loy Chi and Toledo played a 57-55 game early last Dec. and this could be another low scoring one.
Very high on Creighton (see futures) this season esp if they learn to play some defense but also high on No Tex who returns their top 7 scorers from a year ago including the only frosh in NCAA that averaged a double-double, future Lottery pick Tony Mitchell who averaged 14.7 ppg and 10.3 rpg. Likely to have Creighton in a ML parlay but guess Mean Green could cover.
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 21:04:42 GMT -5
Col St will be tough in the MWC this season, maybe behind UNLV and SD St but they do return 4 starters and add a couple of talented transfers. Col St leads series vs Montana 19-13 but are 14-3 @ home in series. Col St is 7-0 ATS L7 home games and Montana will be playing without leading scorer Cherry due to injury.
looks like Texas is keeping Kabongo out as Ncaa still investigates.
Valpo should be tough this season returning all 6 core players and adding some transfers, they won and covered both prior meetings with Ga Southern, both games played within last 3 seasons. Valpo is 18-7-1 ATS L26 Friday games but 0-7 ATS L7 non conference games.
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 22:24:28 GMT -5
DREXEL -6 0.55/0.5u MARYLAND +16.5 0.55/0.5u G TOWN +3 0.55/0.5u S DAKOTA ST +7.5 0.55/0.5u TROY +7.5 0.55/0.5u added: TULANE +5 0.55/0.5u
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 22:31:56 GMT -5
added:
DENVER +3.5 0.55/0.5u
|
|
|
Post by play2win on Nov 8, 2012 22:40:56 GMT -5
lean Byu/Creighton/Col St ML parlay, possibly add Valpo to that too... maybe add Drexel to a ML parlay also...
|
|